Thursday, December 11, 2008

Iran and Nuclear Weapons Capability

I recently read an article written by Professor Kaveh L Afrasiabi at Asia Times Online. Afrasiabi argues that Iran is nowhere near Nuclear Breakout Capability. He also contradicts a REPORT by the Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS).

According to Afrasiabi:

By ignoring these issues completely, the respected nuclear experts seem unconvincing in their quasi-alarmist projections of Iran's near-term nuclear weapon capability - the same projections which are indirectly fueling the argument of the more hawkish experts for the military option.

Their report serves as a half-cooked meal for new US policy-makers gearing up for action come next January. But it will surely give them indigestion, as it replicates the coercive approach that is centered on the theology of Iran's "nuclear intentions" and "capability".

“Quasi-alarmist projections”? Prof Afrasiabi may well wax eloquent in the comfort of his study as he critiques the ISIS report. Meanwhile, there are a number of other media reports that should give Israel pause for concern if Afrasiabi is, in fact, mistaken. Israel does not have the luxury of a second chance in the event of a mistake.

Some interesting headlines:

Covert marine operation uncovers Syria's return to plutonium production

Iran rejects Obama's carrot/stick policy

Iran says will not halt nuclear work despite U.S.

Iranian Pres Ahmadinejad circa August 2006

Thanks to Alesia for this one:

Iranian VP calls for Israel’s destruction

Israel's Choice

Some may be able to sleep tight at night, but Israel's defences cannot!